How to liberate Cuba: End the embargo

Luckily for the United States and the people of Cuba, Fidel Castro is mortal and soon to enter his eighth century of life. When he dies you can expect a rush of Cuban exiles presently in Miami to storm Havana to liberate their homeland. You can also expect Fidel’s brother and deputy, Raúl, to attempt to carry on his brother’s revolution. But however the struggle resolves itself, it is increasingly clear that optimists who prognosticate the complete liberalization of Cuba may be off the mark.
Cubans still have a sense of nationalism that is fueled by an increasingly successful rhetoric that vilifies American imperialism and capitalism. The United States could go a long way in undercutting this rhetoric and quickening Cuba’s liberalization by repealing its antiquated and ineffective embargo.

The embargo is a relic of the Cold War and while it arguably had a place during the Cold War—Cuba received huge financial support from the USSR—it clearly has failed in achieving any sort of regime change in Cuba.

On top of that, it has only harmed the Cuban people. They were the ones who suffered the brunt of the 35 percent drop in GDP when the USSR’s financial support disappeared with the end of the Cold War. While Cuba’s economy has showed some spurts of moderate growth since 1995 it could take off with the added boost of the richest country in the world visiting its beaches, buying its agriculture (most notably sugar), and of course smoking its cigars. In fact, prior to the embargo, the United States accounted for nearly 70 percent of Cuba’s imports and exports. If Castro were to allow American money in, the world could see a drastic improvement in the average Cuban’s quality of life, something that surely ought to be encouraged.

Politically there are only bright spots to ending the embargo. It would put Castro in a tight spot. He would have to let American money spike GDP growth or he could use his control of the island to block American money. Either scenario is a political win for the United States; we are no longer the oppressive giant, but the money fueling drastic benefit to Cuba.

But while ending the embargo would increase trade, benefit Cubans, and increase a positive perception of America amongst Cubans, keeping it has allowed Castro to further vilify the United States, playing it as the party depriving the Cuban people. This has done nothing but further concentrate his power and given its increasing success by Latin American leaders like Hugo Chavez, it could end up being the key Castro loyalists use to maintain the status quo upon Fidel’s death.

And changes to the status quo are precisely what the doctor ordered. The constant string of political debacles the Bush administration has created will not make the upcoming transition any easier. Not only has it threatened to veto any legislation lifting the travel ban on Cuba, but last year it appointed a “transition coordinator” for the post-Castro Cuba. These are nothing but headlines for Castro’s propaganda machine (and shameful moves to win Florida and its crucial Cuban exiles in the presidential election). For once let’s make Castro’s job hard, let’s force him to be the bad guy (or make the United States the good guy), and in doing so, remove the key that has kept Castro in power and could keep his disgraceful government from ruling in perpetuity.

-Mr. Alec